California Energy Costs Just Keep Rising!

PG&E is at it again. Californians are stuck with the highest energy costs in the United States - by far. Rates have risen on average +20% in just the last few months! 


California Energy Market: The Nation's Largest And Most Expensive "Time of Use" (TOU) Energy Rate Rollout

California rolled out the nation's largest Time of Use (TOU) utility rate changes in 2021. The days of paying a "flat" rate for electricity are no more.

Specifically, the new Agricultural TOU rates became mandatory in March 2021. And these rates can be VERY EXPENSIVE if you don't tightly manage your "peak" energy usage between 5-8pm. 

How expensive? On average, these new TOU rates cost about $0.50/kWh when you include or "blend" in the peak power demand and peak energy costs. By comparison, the average cost of energy in the United States is $0.10-$0.15/kWh (including residential and commercial customers). The previous TOU rates cost roughly $0.20-$0.25/kWh - which were already some of the highest in the country! To add insult to injury, some of the new peak power demand costs can reach as high as $35 PER KILOWATT!

  • 💸 AG-A and AG-B blended rates are now ~$0.53/kWh
  • 💸 AG-A2 and AG-C max demand charges are now >$20/kW
  • 😱 AG-C summer peak demand charge increased +$12 to $35/kW

 

Time of Use: WHEN you use energy is just as important as HOW MUCH you use

Under the new TOU rates, you pay more for electricity during weekday and weekend afternoons between 5pm-8pm, seven days a week. And those costs on your utility bill are broken out between two different types of charges:

  • energy consumed (i.e. the odometer) in $/kilowatt-hours ($/kWh) 
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  • power consumed (i.e. the speedometer) in $/kilowatts ($/kW) - also known as "demand." 
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Confusing? YES. And it's designed to be that way so you just give up and pay your bill without asking too many questions. Hopefully these charts explain it a little more clearly: 

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PG&E rates 1-1-24

 

So why is all of this changing now? Flattening out the "Duck Curve" 

California has produced so much renewable energy in the form of solar and wind power that there's now a glut of excess power - generally in the afternoons when the sun is shining and the wind is blowing.

So the state now needs to flatten out this imbalance by incentivizing grid customers to use MORE energy in the afternoon and LESS in the evenings. Or store it. 

This new grid imbalance is referred to in the energy industry as the "duck curve":  

duck

The "duck curve" with a midday drop in power consumption in Megawatts across California due to over-production of renewable energy. Credit: vox.com

 

Another reason for the rate changes (that doesn't get talked about as much) is the fact that it's expensive for utilities to run "standby" power plants to meet this imbalance. These "standby" plants are referred to in the energy industry as “peaker plants” that are typically fueled by natural gas - or coal - which can be subject to price swings in energy markets and environmental regulations. The 201 winter storm fiasco in Texas was a perfect example of this! 

The ultimate goal is to be able to store excess solar/wind energy with on-site batteries, or some other form of energy storage - including hydrogen fuel cells. So the new rates have been built to incentivize this and hopefully make grid loads more predictable.

And let's be honest, these rate increases also siphon more money out of our pockets to go to monopoly utility companies with horrendous safety records and had to declare bankruptcy in recent years because of massive liability from sparking huge wildfires that burned down entire towns (looking at you, PG&E). Under the guise of investing in "wildfire safety measures," customers are footing the bill with much higher energy rates. 

 

Major solar policy changes: NEM 3.0 and impacts to solar ROI 

Older solar projects that were connected to the grid can keep their net energy metering (NEM 1.0 and NEM 2.0) on their original utility rate plans i.e. "grandfathering" at least for a few more years. Newer solar projects, however, don't have this option and have had to enroll in the new, costlier rate plans.  For larger operations, investing in on-site energy storage or battery systems could be a compelling option to avoid the new, costly peak hours between 5-8pm. Assuming you can find a reputable and reliable battery installer at an affordable price...

In late 2022, the CA Public Utility Commission (CPUC) passed NEM 3.0, a new solar tariff which essentially gutted solar credits by 75%! If you have on-site solar installed AFTER April 2022, you won't get paid as much to feed excess solar energy back to the utility grid. This completely changes solar economics and the solar ROI payback period. Under NEM 2.0, you could originally expect to break even on a solar installation in 5-8 years. With NEM 3.0, it could take 10 years or more to break even on a solar installation. And since most solar installations have an expected useful lifetime of 20 years, it doesn't make much sense to install stand-alone solar arrays without including an expensive energy storage system (i.e. battery). 

And it gets weirder! Sometime in 2024, new solar rates will take effect which COMPLETELY change how much you're credited based on the TIME OF DAY instead of a flat 24/7 rate. Check out the chart below.

You'll get paid far less per kilowatt-hour (kWh) when the sun is shining. And get paid more after the sun goes down. The only way for that to make any economic sense is to have an on-site battery to discharge extra energy to the grid - assuming you're not already using it to keep cool and keep the lights on - while avoiding insanely high energy prices! 

NEM 3.0 prices

So what's the bottom line for my farm? 

Farms that have invested in on-site solar projects - or pump irrigation water during peak hours - need to watch these rate increases closely. Without managing "peak demand" usage between 5-8pm, they'll likely see their original expected solar savings and ROI dwindle - and get hit with much higher bills. 

Our software quickly analyzes these new TOU rates and matches them with your energy bills and consumption, your solar generation, and your irrigation pump loads over the past few years to automatically select the cheapest TOU rates and maximize your cost savings. You can also monitor and manage your peak energy usage on a daily basis, down to the equipment level. Doing this manually is simply impossible and way too time consuming. 

 

All of these changes are clear as mud. I have a business to run. What should I do next? 

You're not alone. We're seeing changes in the energy landscape faster than ever before. So leave the heavy-lifting to the energy engineers of Team Wexus.